How to Navigate the Downturn With Accurate Revenue Data
How to Navigate the Downturn With Accurate Revenue Data How can founders achieve sustainable growth to prepare themselves for a downturn? Nektar’s CEO Abhijeet Vijayvergiya shares some advice. CRM GTM RevOps Sales Leadership “No one can predict how bad the economy will get, but things don’t look good.” This was the first point in the email sent out by the top start-up accelerator Y Combinator to its founders in May 2022. Y Combinator isn’t the only one publishing a “black swan” event memo for its portfolio companies. VC investment firm Reach Capital advised start-ups to “account for an extremely capital constrained environment, even for companies with strong growth rates.” Sequoia alerted its start-ups to cut costs or face a ‘death spiral.’ “This market could still be choppy 15 months from now. So looking at 30 months of runway is a better goal for folks to have,” warned Craft Ventures. “Reevaluate your valuation, understand your burn multiples, and build scenario plans” is the advice to start-ups by a16Z. All this comes in the light of the current downturn in the market. Geopolitical tensions, rising inflation, supply chain disruptions and other sources of market volatility has caused a shift in global businesses. Public markets have been struggling to adapt to these developments and have seen sharp corrections to valuations. The uncertainty of public markets has trickled down to the start-up ecosystem. While SaaS companies are considered less risky with predictable business models, the downturn has still plummeted tech stock valuations. Fast-moving, late-stage capital that was flushed across the ecosystem has suddenly evaporated. Most funds are watching their positions shrink in value by 40-50% in less than a year. VC Money Wells Are Drying Up As told by an investor in this article, “The firehose of money that has been pointed at these companies is going to be 70-80% smaller.” The VC market is undergoing some massive changes currently. For example, Softbank said it was pulling back by 50-75% on start-up investments. Tiger Global lost $17 billion and has almost fully invested its latest fund. The VC missives and current market conditions make one thing clear. Easy money is dead. What Does This Mean for Start-ups? Late-stage companies have their valuations at stake. They need to maximize their growth in this downturn to protect their valuation. Adding to revenue and conserving cash is extremely critical for them to ride this storm. Some of these (late-stage) companies will not be able to raise their next round at all. What is clear is that their next round, if they can raise one, will be shorn of any froth and may even be a flat or a down round. If you are a seed stage company, the right thing to focus on is getting to the product market fit and building a repeatable sales model – as soon as possible. – Venktesh Shukla, Founder at Monta Vista Capital Seed stage companies must get to a product market fit and build a repeatable revenue engine to survive this downturn. The longer they take to build a predictable revenue machine, the more vulnerable they will get. With valuations dropping and VC’s pulling the plug on funds, companies are being forced to transition from a “growth at all costs” to a “cost saving at all costs” model. This is already happening in the form of massive layoffs that have been sweeping the tech industry since May. As of mid June, more than 19,000 workers in the U.S. tech sector have been laid off in mass job cuts so far in 2022. Are Job Cuts the Only Way to Extend Runway? While cost-cutting in the form of layoffs might be the only option left with most founders, it is only a quick-fix to a seemingly larger problem facing businesses right now. To survive long-term, leaders need to look at ways to sustain their businesses. Two critical levers for sustained business growth are driving sales productivity and improving sales velocity. This will be key in unlocking an efficient growth flywheel for the SaaS business. So what can revenue leaders do to achieve capital efficiency that protects them from the shocks of the downturn? One metric to look at is Burn Multiple. If CAC is high or sales productivity is low, burn will increase relative to new revenue, causing the Burn Multiple to worsen even though growth continues. According to David Sacks, the rule of thumb for burn multiple is as cited above. Do More With Less With The Right Data By looking inwards at your own data and revenue systems, you can try to understand what factors contribute to poor burn multiple. And data lies at the heart of gaining visibility on where to make improvements, drive focus on leading indicators and fix the revenue funnel before it breaks. However, the biggest pain point for most organizations today is the unreliable data that continues to sit in core systems like CRM. Organizations today are working in hybrid environments. They are using multiple tools and communication channels. This leads to scattered data and disconnected systems across distributed teams. Revenue Operations teams are struggling to tie all of this together and fix the systems to surface the insights they need to help drive timely business decisions. And data inefficiencies are making companies lose as high as 30% of their annual revenue. Sadly, most companies don’t even know of these hidden costs that bad data brings with it. In a Gartner survey, nearly 60% of companies said they don’t know how much bad data costs their businesses because they don’t measure it in the first place. Clean and connected data can provide visibility into insights such as: Where are your reps spending time? Are they chasing the right deals? Are your Customer success team members meeting your top customers frequently? Are you losing more deals selling to technical buyer vs economic buyers? Is your sales team spending more time on low-margin customers? Are you reps ramping fast enough and enabling you to have a better payback period? Which stages are slowing down your revenue generation? Are your reps working on the hot leads that marketing generated? When was the last time your rep touch the committed deal this month? And so on. In order























