Forecasting Strategies at Different Company Sizes

Forecasting Strategies at Different Company Sizes

A conversation with Keith Rabkin, Chief Revenue Officer at PandaDoc.

forecasting strategies

Revenue leaders are constantly under pressure to deliver predictability despite economic headwinds, fluctuating buyer behavior, and increasingly complex deal cycles. In this episode of The Revenue Lounge, we sit down with Keith Rabkin, the Chief Revenue Officer at PandaDoc, to understand how he builds a forecasting engine rooted in operational excellence, strategic RevOps partnership, and deep customer-centricity.

Keith’s journey spans two decades, including tenures at tech giants like Google and Adobe, where he mastered the intersection of data, GTM strategy, and customer satisfaction. At PandaDoc, he’s applying that same blend of analytical rigor and human insight to build predictable, scalable revenue engines.

From Strategy & Ops to CRO: Keith’s Unique Journey

“I think I’m a little bit of a non-traditional CRO.”

Keith didn’t take the usual route into the CRO chair. Instead, he rose through strategy and operations roles at Google, where he honed his ability to use data as a decision-making compass. At Adobe, he led GTM strategy and operations for their $9B digital media business, where he first saw how customer-centric data patterns could be used to optimize every element of a go-to-market motion — from self-service sales to channel revenue.

What hooked him? The satisfaction of being “obsessed with a number,” he says. Forecasting, for Keith, is a game of patterns and puzzle-solving — and the payoff is not just in numbers, but in the satisfaction of delivering a great customer experience.

Public vs. Private Forecasting: Two Worlds, One Philosophy

Forecasting at Adobe looked very different than forecasting at PandaDoc. Yet the underlying discipline — inspecting deals, applying data, and aligning cross-functional teams — remains the same.

Forecasting ElementPublic CompaniesPrivate Companies
PressureIntense, stock-drivenHigh, but more flexible
MethodologyAutomated, bottoms-up, segmentedManual inspection, rep-specific
Timeline SensitivityQuarterly commitments drive urgencyMore customer-aligned pacing
DiscountingEnd-of-quarter incentives commonLong-game view prioritized

“At PandaDoc, I’d rather let a deal slip than pressure a customer to close just to hit a quarter.”

This mindset allows PandaDoc to prioritize relationships over revenue timing — which, ironically, improves long-term deal value and trust.

The Forecasting Playbook: A Blend of Art and Science

Keith emphasizes that while forecasting may appear like a data-driven function, it’s equally about human judgment.

Here’s what his playbook looks like:

Forecasting ComponentDescription
Deal-by-deal inspectionAnalyze every key opportunity through rep/manager reviews.
Historical trendsWeigh pipeline based on historical stage conversions, seasonal patterns, and rep accuracy.
Manager alignmentCollaborate with frontline managers and VPs to roll up forecasts with realism.
Gut checkUnderstand rep behavior: who’s conservative, who sandbags, who needs pushback.

“You get to know who’s sandbagging and who’s just optimistic. That’s the art.”

He holds weekly meetings with his GTM leaders to walk through the forecast. But it’s not a top-down call — it’s a collaborative build-up, followed by his own adjustment based on trend recognition and leader context.

The Domino Effect of Dirty Data

Bad Close Rate Data → Inaccurate Pipeline Weighting → Forecast Misses
Unreliable Pipe Gen Tracking → Overconfidence → Poor Coverage
Lack of Stakeholder Mapping → Underestimated Risk → Deal Slippage

“Bad data is a huge obstacle to an accurate forecast.”

Keith’s solution? A world-class RevOps team and weekly “D-DOM” meetings (Data Driven Operating Model), where every GTM leader sees and aligns on the same datasets. This operational cadence makes data central to every action — not just a reporting afterthought.

RevTech Isn’t the Answer. But It Helps.

While Keith is bullish on RevTech, he’s also cautious. He notes that no tool can replace fundamentals like deal inspection, rep performance analysis, and buyer engagement tracking.

That said, RevTech tools have made his life easier in the following ways:

RevTech FunctionForecasting Value
Call & Email DataReveals real engagement and momentum.
PandaDoc EngagementTracks opens, page views, and forwards.
CI ToolsHelps uncover true multi-threading.
Forecast Software(Under evaluation) Competing tools for visibility and roll-up support.

“Forecasting tools are helpful, but the magic is in the intersections — rep + stage + seasonality.”

He predicts that AI will soon help revenue teams process these complex intersections more effectively.

Deal Inspection Checklist for Complex Sales

  1. Champion Validated? Is it a true champion or just a coach?

  2. Economic Buyer Identified? Can they sign off?

  3. Discovery Depth: Have we uncovered real pain and urgency?

  4. Multi-threaded? Are 2–3 stakeholders from different teams engaged?

  5. Next Steps Documented? Is there clear mutual action?

  6. PandaDoc Activity? Has the proposal been opened and reviewed?

“We’ve locked down our stages with no judgment calls — just concrete criteria.”

If a deal regresses — for example, the buyer leaves or restarts the evaluation — Keith prefers to roll it back rather than falsely keep it in an advanced stage.

Revenue Doesn’t Stop at Closed-Won: Expansion and Renewals

PandaDoc’s post-sale strategy mirrors its new business motion — highly structured, data-backed, and RevOps-enabled.

FunctionRole
Customer Experience (CX)Drives adoption, feedback, early risk signals.
Account Management (AM)Owns renewals, expansion, and commercial negotiations.

“We separate value delivery from commercial transactions. That builds trust.”

Forecasting on the renewal side follows the same rigor — stage tracking, risk reviews, and AM-manager forecasts. High-risk or high-value accounts get escalated for deeper review.

Winback Motion: Closed-Lost ≠ Lost Forever

Keith and team recently launched a Closed-Lost Nurture Program:

  • Targeted drip campaigns

  • Scheduled rep check-ins

  • Competitor contract timeline tracking

  • Stakeholder remarketing (when contacts weren’t captured in CRM)

“Buyers come in 6–9 months before a competitor renewal. If we stay top-of-mind, we win the re-evaluation.”

This motion ensures that timing—not interest—is the only reason a deal is lost.

Killing the MQL Debate: Pipeline is the Real Metric

Keith doesn’t ignore MQLs, but he’s shifted PandaDoc’s GTM model toward pipeline accountability.

GTM MetricMarketing RoleSales RoleShared Outcome
MQLsGenerate quality leadsQualify accuratelyFeedback loop only
PipelineSource and nurtureAccept and closeJoint ownership

“Both teams are goaled on pipeline — and both refuse to blame each other.”

He calls this alignment “the maturity signal of a true GTM engine.”

Operating Rhythm: Weekly Forecasting with Discipline

Every Monday, Keith sits down with his VPs to:

  • Inspect the forecast

  • Track closed-won vs. commit

  • Dig into high-risk deals

  • Calibrate assumptions and push for clarity

He also inspects call notes, listens to recordings, and personally engages with large or strategic deals — especially if there’s a co-sell opportunity or long-term strategic value.

“I follow my curiosity. Sometimes I see a logo and think: wait, this could be huge for us.”

Final Word: Forecasting is Decision-Making Discipline

Keith leaves us with this:

“Forecasting is just decision-making under uncertainty. The tighter your ops, the cleaner your data, and the more customer-first your mindset — the fewer surprises you’ll face.”

In a world chasing predictability, leaders like Keith prove it’s possible to forecast with confidence — not just by looking at dashboards, but by embedding forecasting into every conversation, every inspection, and every interaction across the revenue org.

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More Resources

5 Steps to Navigate Buying Groups in 2025: A RevOps Guide

5 Steps to Navigate Buying Groups in 2025: A RevOps Guide RevOps 10 min In today’s business environment, B2B buying is never just one person. According to Forrester Research, more than half of global business buyers purchase in complex buying scenarios that include more people, more departments, and generally higher price points. And this buying group can be made up of 7 to 20 people! Unlocking the power of buying groups is a crucial aspect of the B2B landscape. This blog is a synopsis of our conversation with revenue operations leader, Nandini Karkare. She is currently the SVP of RevOps at Zywave. Nandini suggests strategic steps to navigate through the realms of Revenue Operations and helps uncover the strategies, insights, and best practices that constitute a comprehensive guide to mastering the dynamics of buying groups. Read on to get actionable tips on how you can navigate buying groups in 2025 (and beyond). And implement the learnings to create a winning GTM motion. 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